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U.S. House · Georgia · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Georgia House, district 11

John Cowan (Republican) against Chris Harden (Democrat).

John Cowan
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 30
95%party to win
vs.
Chris Harden
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 26
5%party to win

Where they stand · 55 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

John CowanestimateChris Hardenestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3026
55 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedCowan
$2.8MHarden
$128kItemized, named donorsCowan
$582kHarden
$90kNamed donorsCowan
377Harden
87Itemized from GeorgiaCowan
65%Harden
96%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Neurosurgeon. Small Business Owner. Conservative Outsider.”

“Georgians want lower taxes, less government” Cowan · X post · Apr 29 · ↗

“Let's do something different together”

“fight to permanently restore and expand those credits” Harden · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
John CowanKalshiRepublican wins95%96%95%$9,537Open ↗
John CowanPolymarketRepublican wins95%96%95%$54,817Open ↗
Chris HardenKalshiDemocrat wins4%6%6%$17,486Open ↗
Chris HardenPolymarketDemocrat wins3%5%5%$36,257Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Georgia ballot
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Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll